The EUR/AUD currency pair has been in a downtrend since early 2018, but recently it has shown signs of a potential reversal. The pair has been trading in a range between 1.5500 and 1.6200 for the past few months, and it is currently testing a key resistance area at 1.6200.
Technical analysis is a method of analyzing financial markets based on historical price and volume data. It is widely used by traders and investors to identify trends, support and resistance levels, and potential trading opportunities.
In the case of EUR/AUD, the resistance area at 1.6200 is significant because it has been tested multiple times in the past and has held as a strong barrier to further upside. If the pair manages to break above this level, it could signal a shift in the trend and a potential move higher.
However, there are several factors that could prevent the pair from breaking through this resistance area. One of them is the current strength of the Australian dollar, which has been supported by rising commodity prices and a relatively strong economy compared to other developed countries.
Another factor is the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the eurozone, particularly with regards to Brexit and the Italian budget crisis. These issues could weigh on the euro and limit its upside potential against other currencies, including the Australian dollar.
In terms of technical indicators, the EUR/AUD pair is currently trading above its 50-day moving average (MA), which is a bullish signal. However, it is still below its 200-day MA, which suggests that the long-term trend is still bearish.
The relative strength index (RSI) is also showing a bullish divergence, indicating that momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls. However, the RSI is currently in overbought territory, which could lead to a pullback or consolidation in the near term.
Overall, the EUR/AUD pair is facing a key resistance area at 1.6200, which could determine the direction of the trend in the coming weeks and months. Traders and investors should closely monitor price action and technical indicators to identify potential trading opportunities and manage risk accordingly.
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- Source: Plato Data Intelligence: PlatoData